How To Win Big In Football Gambling
The statement I’m about to make will most certainly shock any sports bettor who reads it. While most of us are under the impression that everyone betting sports wins long term, so long as they bet often enough, this isn’t actually true.
- How To Win Big In Football Bet
- How To Win Big In Football Gambling Game
- How To Win Big In Football Gambling Odds
Football Prediction Software. Ibigbets system is straight forward and easy to use. We know data is important for successful football bettor but knowing which data will help become very crucial as there are so much data available in the era of big data. Team 1 win / Draw / Team 2 win. In other words, you either bet on one of two teams to win or for a draw. 1 X 2 betting is probably the most popular bet for a few reasons. Winning is the main full time aim of the game, so this is one of the reasons that it attracts a lot of bets.
Wait you’re not surprised? Of course you’re not! Everyone knows the bookmaker has an advantage so more times than not sports bettors lose. However, what if there was a way that the rolls could be reversed; what if the sports bettor always had the advantage?
This is in fact possible.
Have you ever heard the term advantage player? This is a label gambling companies assign to players who only bet when the odds are in their favor.
Even though “on average” bookmakers have a 4.55% advantage on straight bets (2.38% @ -105), the key word is “average”; advantage players find bets where the bookmaker’s advantage is negative. Whether your goal is to be a sports betting pro, or just earn a little money on the side, the first step to winning is to stop making –EV bets.
If you understand what expected value, -EV, and +EV mean, go ahead and skip down to our advice on finding +EV bets. If you’re not familiar with this concept continue reading.
Expected Value (EV) Explained
Expected value is a term professional gamblers use on a regular basis. To explain what it means in simple terms I’ll use an example. Let’s say me and you decided to have a coin flipping contest. We flip coins and you give me $1 for each outcome of heads; I give you $1 for each outcome of tails. We could flip coins for all eternity and neither of us will ever have an advantage because on average half the time we lose $1 half the time we win $1. While there will be swings back and forth, as long as we flip the coin enough times eventually we’ll both break even. This particular bet has neutral expected value.
Now let’s say I’m tired of flipping coins, and want to quit, but while begging me to stay you offer me a better deal. This new deal pays me $1.10 for every heads, and I still pay you $1.00 for every tails. What happens now is half the time I win $1.10 and half the time I lose $1.00. If we flip 100 times I should average 50 wins of $1.10 ($55) and 50 losses of $1 ($50). Every flip of the coin I have a positive expectation (+EV) of 5 cents. As the one offering me this proposition you have the opposite, every flip of the coin is 5 cents –EV for you.
Every wager made in sports betting has either a positive expected value (+EV), negative expectation value (-EV) or in rare cases neutral expected value. Winning sports betting requires avoiding –EV and finding +EV bets.
Finding +EV Sports Bets
How To Win Big In Football Bet
The reasons most sports bettors don’t spend time learning the tricks of advantage players is it’s slightly time consuming, most have no leads how to do it, are overwhelmed or when they do learn it’s not actually fun. If you’re looking for something fun we suggest paint balling, a trip to the amusement park, circus or what have you. If you’re looking to actually make money then you’ll need to know how to find +EV bets.
At TheSportsGeek.com we have several articles on this topic you’ll want to read:
Teaser Betting Strategy – This is perhaps the easiest method a sports bettor can use to find bets with a positive advantage. When you also read our article on the current betting market, you’ll realize just before game time the lines are efficient. Teasers are based off the current betting lines, so no longer do you need to go do any deep analysis to find out whether as straight bet is +EV. Here find spots where teasers increase the win rate by enough and you’ll have a +EV bet. This is all described in our article on teaser betting strategy.
Prop Betting Strategy – Prop bets are generally considered the easiest wagering opportunity for sports bettors to beat. In our article on prop betting strategy I give a full break down of the prop bet “which team will score first”. After reading that article you’ll have enough information to start finding +EV bets on this specific prop. In time, as you get experience you’ll be able to solve other prop bet on your own and then beat them using as similar method to the one I show in the example.
Must Read Sports Betting Books
If you’re new to advantage betting some books that will help you greatly with the basics are:
1) Sharp Sports Betting by Stanford Wong
2) Weighing the Odds in Sports Betting by King Yao
Once you’re much more experienced and ready to take things to the next level then I strongly Conquering Risk: Attacking Vegas and Wall Street by Elihu D. Feustel. This is a book for advanced sports bettors and not a good read for anyone not already winning. It is heavily math, statistic and handicapping intensive. If you eventually decided on a career as an advantage player at some point down the road you’ll want to work to understand what Elihu D. Feustel shares in this book.
No matter what methods you use to find +EV bets, the information contained in our article on finding maximum value is a must read. Next, if you’re thinking about purchasing picks, read our article on winning without a tout. In that article you’ll also find some information on getting free picks. Use that with the earlier mention getting max value article, and shopping the market and you’ll likely be turning an easy, yet slightly time consuming profit.
With this out of the way let me now cover the easiest way to get your bankroll started: “Bonus Whoring”.
A Free Lunch in Sports Betting
If you’ve heard the saying there is no such thing as a free lunch, well think again. Here are some bonuses that sports betting sites offer to players making their first deposit:
At the time of writing this Bookmaker is offering a massive holiday bonus of 25% up to $2,500 sports + 175% up to $1,000 poker + 100% up to $250 casino. If you don’t have an account, visit Bookmaker and register using Bonus Code THEGEEK on the sign up field. After logging in, head to the cashier where the available “deposit bonus codes” will be listed. Use this code and you’ll now have the added advantage of massive free play bonus.
Bovada offers 10% cash bonus on bettor’s first deposit. The best thing about this bonus is it is instant and it’s cash (as opposed to free play). Also no crazy strings such as rollover, hold period etc, simply roll your initial deposit and 10% bonus over a single time and it is free and clear your own money to keep.
Here you can get up to $1,000 in free bonus money. Getting the max bonus is a multi step process. First sign up, and be sure to leave the Promotion Code field empty. Next follow the steps on our BetOnline Bonus page to negotiate a massive bonus with their live support.
When you combine +EV bets with free bonus cash, winning at sports betting is a cinch. The only piece of the puzzle you have left is protecting and growing your bankroll. Our best advice here, never wager more than a few percent of what you have on hand on a single game.
Once you have this all down, while it takes other sports bettors a lot of luck to win, the opposite is true for you. A bookie beating an advantage player who uses responsible bet sizing, keeps his composure during downswings while making only +EV bets, is quite difficult. Follow this and the only ways you lose is horrible bad luck!
Once again don’t forget to take advantage of the bonus at www.Bovada.lv!
We wish you the best of luck and know soon enough you’ll be shacking your head confused the same at us, whenever you hear the statement “most sports bettors lose” and clearly you won’t be on of them.
Other Advanced Sports Betting Strategy Articles:
Did you know that you could be rich from watching soccer?
Yes! You could be. This would be a reward for your passions in following football, as it is called outside the United States.
You should understand that football is a big business that millions of people have profited from. Is it Pele, Messi, Ronaldo, David Beckham, organisations like UNICEF and even companies like Nissan and Heineken?
Football is a massive market. But you have to understand how big football or soccer is before you know how to profit from it.
How big is Football?
The football industry is massive that it makes up 45% of the entire sports industry. That’s almost half of an industry that is estimated to be about 1.3 trillion dollars. That’s about 13 digits.
That means football is about 600 billion dollars. If football is a country it would be among the top 20 richest countries in the world.
There are thousands of people who have made fortunes from football.
Take 2017 Neymar sensational headline for instance. A player made 40 million dollars from a football deal. His father cashed that. That is the official one from football.
There are still others he made from sponsorship deals with different brands.
You think Nissan don’t know what they are doing with their money when they started sponsoring the UEFA Champions League since 2014?
What have statistics shown so far?
Have you seen Cristiana Ronaldo Networth and Biography in 2018? It’s really huge o.
Nissan that used to be falling is now rising steadily.
If you leave the monetary aspect of it, consider the influence that football carries. If you heard about the Catalan Independence struggle, it is not the politicians that are acting as influences but footballers of Catalan heritage.
What does all these mean for you?
It simply means that if others can profit from football in the most unusual of ways, why can’t you do the same?
You don’t need to know jack about how to play football.
Your dribbling or passing skills do not matter.
What matters is that you know a particular match for the day.
It’s how much attention that you pay to the best soccer predictions.
It’s how you can put to practice football bet tips and predictions.
But first you need to understand how betting works. If you don’t know, the football tips you know are useless.
Football betting, what the hell is it?
Pardon the curse word. But you need not worry about that. If you pay attention to today’s football prediction made on Sky Sports and even BBC, you would see the pundits who are among the world’s best using such world.
A popular football coach said “Football, bloody hell!”
That said, you don’t need an English class to know what betting is.
Betting is simply backing an event to happen.
It’s like you saying “Hey! I want this person to win this and I would be risking my $10 for it”.
There are various forms of betting. From horse betting to golf and soccer betting.
Soccer betting is easier, in the sense that if you have watch a match before, you can bet.
Before this age, soccer betting used to be on draws. That a match would end in a draw.
However, as civilization progresses more outcome are added that you can even predict if Ronaldo would score in match or Balotelli would get a red card.
There are lots of options for you to win with.
But how sure is betting that you can win, you ask.
Enter Dean Clay
You would need to know the story of Dean Clay, a Chelsea fan, who won £92,000 from a £2 bet. That is a return of over 48,000.
When The Telegraph asked him about such a massive win he said “When we went in this morning and they told us about the bonus, our legs nearly gave way.”
When he was told that it was bonus that made the money get to £92k instead of £69k, he said “It’s just amazing”.
He was a little worried about the outcome that he had to go play golf. However, he concluded with “I was on the 16th hole when I realised I had won. I did not know what to do with myself. I just had a feeling of amazement.
That story is just one in a thousands of way you can make profit from football predictions.
This football betting tips post would explain what you need to know and how you can make a fortune from bet prediction.
The next section would explain the betting terms that you need to know. These are important because without know them, you’re betting blinding. And that is bad for betting.
Betting Terms
Football Betting Odds
Understanding how odds work is a key in bet prediction.
This is the probability of a team winning a match. It is with odds that you will calculate the money you would cash out should you win.
The odds of a smaller team winning a bigger team is higher than a bigger team winning a smaller team. For instance, if Bayern Munich is playing Hannover 96, there is a high degree of certainty that Bayern would win. For Hannover 96, it’s a probability that might not happen. If you’re to bet, your soccer prediction will be with Bayern. The odds for Bayern to win is low compared to Hannover.
Thus for a higher odds, the team would have to be a smaller one having an edge over the larger one.
Odds is not just limited to wins but several subsets for it is available. The odds for a team to draw, score above or below a certain thresholds of goals amongst others are some odds that are available.
There are different ways of denoting odds.
The goal of any football betting tips is to understand how to turn odds into your favour.
Stakes
Your stakes is simply the amount of money that you bet. It is something that you would lose if the result turn out against you.
It is the stakes times the odds that would give you the pay out that you would get.
For instance, if your stakes is $10 and the odds is 1.78. It means you would get a return of $17.80.
PIN IT FOR LATER:
G.G and N.G
When you’re betting, you would see these terms depending on the bookie.
G.G means Goal-Goal. It is the likelihood of a match ending with both sides on the scoring sides.
N.G on the other hand means Nil-Goal, which is the likelihood of a match ending with only one side on the scoring sheet.
For instance, if Chelsea is to play Barcelona and the match ends in 1:1, which is G.G. However, if Barcelona wins 3:0, it means that the game ticked N.G.
Over and Under
You would see over 1.5, over 2.5 or under 4.5.
What these numbers means is that the total number of goal would be close to the nearest whole digit.
For instance over 1.5 means that the total number of goals would exceed 1 goal. If it ended in 1:0, it did not tick. Over 2.5 means it would exceed 2 goals, etc.
Similarly under 3.5 means that the total number of goals would not exceed 3 goals. Under 2.5 means that it would be less than or equal to 2 goals.
1 X 2
Anyone who does not tell you this, do not want to offer you soccer betting tips.
It shows the likely outcome of a match. Either the home team winning, the match ending in a draw or the away team winning.
The x came from a tradition where bookers used to cross a game in old soccer pool.
A 1 X 2 for Juventus vs Chievo can explain this.
If you want Juventus to win, you pick 1.
If you see a draw, you pick X.
If you instead feel Chievo would have the day, you pick 2.
Handicap
This kind of betting would allow you give a team an advantage.
For instance, Manchester United is playing Arsenal. You might want Arsenal to win Manchester United. What if the match ends in a draw or Manchester United win? That would mean you made the wrong prediction.
Handicap however would make you give Arsenal a virtual goal head start. Say you give Arsenal a goal ahead and Arsenal won, your prediction ticked. If Arsenal drew, it also ticked. But if Arsenal lost, it didn’t tick.
There are various kind of handicap – European handicap, Asian Handicap. Checkout the one your bookie offer.
Correct Score
This allow your bet prediction to be about the final score of the match.
For instance, if Manchester United is playing Brighton and you predict that the match will in end in 2:0, that is correct score.
Correct score is one of the hardest football prediction because you do not have the metrics to determine if a match would end in a particular score line.
Play this bet with care.
Draw No Bet (DNB)
You should have seen this before.
What it simply mean is that when you play DNB on any team, you’re backing that team to win. If the game ends in a draw, you’ve lost the bet.
You would only get your yield when the match in either a win for the home or away side.
For instance, a DNB for a match between PSG and Olympiakos would mean that if PSG wins or Olympiakos win, you won the bet. But if it ends in a draw, you lost your stake.
Keep this football betting tip to heart as you might need it someday.
ANB
This means “away no bet”.
Similar to the DNB, you would win when the match ends in the home team either winning the match or it ends in a draw.
HNB
Home no bet means you would lose your bet if the match ends in favour of the home side.
Odd / Even
Not to be confused with odds, this bet allows you to predict that the final scores would end in an odd or even number.
In case you did not pay attention in maths class, even numbers are those that are in multiple of two like 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 and so forth. The numbers in between them are the odd numbers.
Like the advice on the correct score section, the best football betting tip is that you don’t rely too much on uncertainties. Are sure are you that a match score line would end in a particular score.
Accumulator
Normal football bets is for a match.
Check out this Matched Betting for Dummies- A Step by Step Guide
You can stretch it even further by betting on different outcomes of different matches.
This give you the chances of winning bigger from a bet that would hitherto return a little yield.
However, some bookies have a limit to number of soccer prediction that you can accumulate.
Since this betting pattern involves a lot of risk, you have to play this game with caution. Don’t pick any team that have a high odd and just add it to it, be sure that the game is a sure one (pun unintended).
There are also other betting terms that are peculiar to different bookies. These are the most important, know them would help you in betting soccer matches.
Legality
Football betting is a market that is sensitive.
While some countries have completely legalized betting, some others have not. In fact, it is a crime to bet on the outcome of a soccer match.
Some countries have what is called licensed bet, in which the operators would be licensed by the gambling commission in the country.
Yet still, some countries have betting completely banned. It’s even strict in some countries that you should not mention betting or gambling there.
In 2014 when Real Madrid played Galatasaray FC in the UEFA Champions League, Real Madrid wore a plain shirt that did not show Bwin, their sponsors. Turkey, that Galatasaray is based, made betting illegal. Bwin is a gambling company.
You should know what is legal or not legal in your country before attempting a bet. Problems might arise when you need to cash out your winnings.
Do a little research on your country gambling law, because it would be a waste of time if you have a winnings that you can’t cash out.
In the United States, states have their laws on gambling. Same goes for many federations and complex states like the United Kingdom.
However you can make use of turnarounds. For instance, if you’re lucking to win like Clay or several others who made fortunes, you can migrate to another country with a legal backing for gambling.
How to Bet a Match
The purpose of this football betting tips is to show you how to bet for profit.
You should follow the tips religiously to maximize your chance of winning.
FOR FREE TIPS AND MORE, READ: Free Betting Tips and Soccer News
Understand football well
It sucks if you don’t know anything about football or soccer and you want to make money betting on it.
Chances are, you would lose your money.
Even if you use to know football, understand that football is a dynamic sports. It changes every day.
Get football tips from different sources.
Know how league matches go.
You should know about a team, if possible their last five matches before placing a bet on them.
Football is easy yet complex. Understand this complexity and you should be on your way to raking profits from the beautiful sport.
Forget Your Emotions
Football is a practical game. So keep aside your soft spots for any team and bet.
As a rule of thumb, you should avoid adding your favourite team to a bet. You can support them to win a match but not on the bet slip. Even if you feel they would lose, don’t bet. Leave them out.
There are some heavily advertised matches that you would like to bet on. You should be wary of those matches because most of them are played for honour. Do you think betting on Barcelona vs Real Madrid is a good bet?
Sometimes after a loss, you might want to bet. Don’t!
You might be a victim of optimism bias, a mind-set that would make you feel you would win your next bet after losing one.
Your bet should be based on today’s football predictions, not yesterday’s. Not even what you think.
Do Research and Analyse Your Predictions
You might want to bet immediately especially when your friends tell you that a winning ticket is the right one.
First, stop and ask yourself “If this is right?”
Do your research.
Check the head to head of the opponents before you decide.
What about their last five matches?
Check if they are having any troubles. In 2013, a vibrant Barcelona started losing after their head coach was diagnosed with cancer.
Check their previous years for consistencies.
Be ready to do the legwork.
You should also check stuff like “soccer prediction for today”. If your bet is certain, it should show on the day’s prediction.
How To Win Big In Football Gambling Game
Listen to well-established pundits like those on Sky Sports or BBC analyse matches. Their views would help you decide if a bet is right or not. Sometimes, you would not hear their opinions. That would mean you have to read a lot of views on the match before betting.
There are also football prediction sites that covers the bet of the day. You can get football bet tips and predictions from them.
Don’t be greedy
While it is true that some punters have won hundreds of thousands of dollars or pounds from football betting, know that this is the exceptions.
You might make a big win, but this is unlikely.
It is safer to bet on small bets and cash out than to keep betting on large wins that might never happen.
Some bookies have a habit of throwing some odds at punters to fall victim. Your bet predictions should be based on correct analysis.
Remember that small wins is better than huge loss.
How To Win Big In Football Gambling Odds
Calculate
You should calculate the odds that you would bet for.
Some bookies have odds in format that you might not understand.
You should use online calculators that calculate football betting odds. Some odds might be in fractions or decimals. Online odds calculators would help you insert all your odds and stake and your winnings would show.
With calculators, you can check if a bet is worth it or not. You would not want to bet on some matches that would not increase the odds by a higher margin.
Be Shrewd
Be careful to avoid those who claim they have a winning number.
Football is a game of data and analysis, although there are sometimes that data would not hold.
Except someone is a well-known pundit, do not give out money to anyone to predict game for you. Most of them are scams. However, there are some insider groups that give good soccer prediction.
You can use Google to search football predictions today with wins and draws. This would give you those that are likely to win or draw.
Also be careful of using any betting network or websites. Go for the more reputable companies who have good football odds, will not tell you that your account is banned after a big killing.
Sometimes Rules Sucks!
You might need to break the rules sometimes.
It’s not every time that the rule is right.
You can make millions from a single-accumulator bet sometimes. But know that this is the exceptions.
It would take lots of conditions that need to be right for it to happen.
Just take your time. From time to time maybe like every two months, throw caution to the wind.
Do some research, it is important.
Combine some odds that would likely be a killing.
Put your money on it.
Wait. You might be lucky.
But note that this is the exception.
FOR FREE TIPS AND MORE, READ: Nairabet Review:Popular Nigerian Sports Bookmaker
Cashing Out
If you win, your bookie would have a way of which you would cash out.
Provide the relevant documents and you would get your money.
Making money from football is easy, especially when you know the right things to do. Doing good research is a first step in making money from football betting. If you follow the right steps, the stars would align and you might just be lucky to cash in.